Snowfall

Note: Images are intended as a visual representation of the scale of potential impacts. Model results pertain to average change in annual snowfall rather than impact on any particular snowfall event. Image Credit: Bob Bernal

Mid- and End-of-Century Snowfall in the Los Angeles Region is the second in a series to consider regional climate impacts throughout Los Angeles. This study details stunning impacts to regional mountains. Find out what local media has to say.

A Changing Landscape

Los Angeles has long been known as an iconic region where you can hit the slopes in the mountains in the morning and make it to the beach to catch the waves by sunset. As our climate changes, this may no longer be a reality.

Los Angeles Snowfall.gif

By 2050, Los Angeles area mountains will lose a substantial amount of snowfall:

 

By the end of the century, the contrast between action and inaction is stark:

 

This study provides the best-yet estimates of how climate change will impact snowfall in Southern California mountains, including communities of Wrightwood, Lake Arrowhead, Big Bear and Idyllwild. They are the only estimates available that assess climate change on a community-by-community scale.

BUA End of Century Map

The study's results indicate that whether or not we take action to rein in greenhouse gas emissions, substantial snowfall loss by mid-century is inevitable, and we have to adapt to these changes. However, by end-of-century, cutting greenhouse gases curbs further loss of snowfall—indicating that mitigation is an important strategy for preserving snow in the region.

Mit End of Century Map

Impacts on Angelenos

Although this study addresses climate change impacts on snowfall only, rising temperatures are also very likely to accelerate melting of snowpack accumulated on the ground. Scientists predict that, by 2050, seasonal snowpack is likely to melt completely an average of 16 days earlier than usual in the spring.

Less snowfall during the winter, combined with earlier snowmelt during the spring, indicates drastic changes are possible, altering important hydrological and ecosystem processes. Further research is needed to understand more specifically what to expect in terms of future water resources and critical habitat for plant and animal communities.

Learn more about what you can do to help mitigate climate change.

The Climate Change in the Los Angeles Region Project

This study is the second in a series being conducted by atmospheric scientists at UCLA, employing an innovative technique for applying global climate models to the Los Angeles region to provide detailed projections of climate change. The first study in the series, Mid-Century Warming in the Los Angeles Region, was released in June 2012.

Learn more about the science behind these ground-breaking reports.

ADDITIONAL CLIMATE ASSESSMENTS


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